Wednesday, December 03, 2003

Poll position

Verbal Jazz just loves polls because they are either an accurate or inaccurate representation of the attitudes of the American people. A poll released today by the University of Maryland revealed that 71% percent of the American people feel that going to war with Iraq has not reduced the threat of terrorism. I'm shocked! Since this little vanity project called a war got started, I have yet to be shot at.

As with most polls, this one takes a relatively small statistical sampling of American people (say around 700 compared to 288 MILLION; or roughly one person speaking for every 411,000) and makes a grand assumption about the attitudes of the general populace.

How do polls predict outcomes? For instance, would Howard Dean be such a front runner right now without the polls that captured the frustration of those not wanting to get into the Iraq War (Now! Guaranteed to not increase your safety according to 70% of one per 411,000!).

Like anyone else, I really dig the polls that support my views. Maybe I should build a bunker in my back yard because that poll told me we are not any safer...

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